The Handicapper

Parrish Heppenstall (seen here displaying the extreme focus and concentration Wink that have made him BigGuy's #1 Top Ranked Handicapper overall in NHL picks winning over 125 units since 2001.)

*UPDATE*

Another winning season with an epic +40.25 Unit 7.5% ROI finish in 2008-09! You've done your research and found the proven winner. Now reap the rewards! Join now and save 40% with the Early Bird 2009 - 2010 Season Special.

Sign-Up Now!

EARLY BIRD SPECIAL!
2009 - 2010 Regular Season
NHL Pick Subscription Plan

Gambler's Ruin/Reward



Check out this great java app! It simulates a season of bets and illustrates the dangers and rewards a gambler will face along the way. Very enlightening and humbling. I've recently modified it to simulate a typical SURE BET season (with recommended money management), using these parameters. Players account: 35, House account: 35, Payoff 1:1, Game Limit: 500, Probability 0.52 (+/- 0.01). Fun for the whole family!

Free Pick O' The Day

Free beer, no. Free NHL Picks? Yes! Sign up for an account, and check back daily around game time under the 'Free Pick' menu option. Some days it'll be there, some days... not so much. Buy hey, it's free!

Welcome to SURE BET

Welcome to SURE BET

Domicile of Parrish Heppenstall and his superior NHL power rankings. Win, lose or shootout always remember that getting to 52.4% is only half the fun. Now let's make some money!Learn more...

Proven Winner

Proven Winner

Ranked #1 on BigGuy, the largest and most trustworthy sports monitor on the web. Every one of my picks since 2001 is fully documented there, and the record speaks for itself.Learn more...

Rock Solid Future

Rock Solid Future

My systematic approach and proprietary software are constantly evolving to stay one, two and three steps ahead of the line. It's been ten plus winning seasons. It's my passion, and I'm not stopping.Learn more...

Player Gallery

image

8Ovechkin

image

91Savard

image

3Phaneuf

NHL Power Rankings | Free NHL Picks

Welcome to SURE BET Software sports handicapping service and our daily NHL Hockey Power Rankings. Accurate and easy to use when creating your own free NHL picks, the power ratings begin with strong initial projections, and are automatically adjusted during the season based on game scores, injuries, starting goalies and schedule strength. They are unique in that they fully incorporate critical PAST events AND include PRESENT game day injuries and acquisitions. Use as instructed, and you should see winning results for your NHL Sports Betting, Proline, Sports Action, Pari Sportif or Sport Select NHL pick wagering.

SURE BET Software by Parrish Heppenstall
NHL Power Rankings for 5/10/10 7:16pm EST

TEAM SLOPR FASPR GFADJ GAADJ FINTO FINPR
 WAS  0.44  0.05  0.16 -0.08  5.38  0.78 
 VAN  0.54  0.58  0.18 -0.04  5.38  0.75 
 CHI  0.50  0.52  0.10 -0.05  5.10  0.65 
 DET  0.40  0.69  0.17 -0.09  4.99  0.59 
 SJ   0.23  0.04  0.12 -0.12  4.91  0.52 
 NJ  -0.04 -0.23  0.23 -0.11  4.62  0.35 
 LA  -0.04 -0.31  0.16 -0.11  4.75  0.30 
 BOS  0.30  0.57  0.04  0.03  4.56  0.24 
 NSH -0.07 -0.03  0.17 -0.12  4.67  0.21 
 PIT  0.03  0.05  0.07 -0.10  5.07  0.20 
 BUF  0.29  0.38 -0.08  0.00  4.72  0.19 
 PHO -0.11 -0.32  0.08 -0.11  4.70  0.13 
 ANA  0.04  0.32  0.06 -0.09  4.88  0.12 
 NYR  0.11  0.57  0.07 -0.04  4.71  0.11 
 MON  0.04  0.12  0.06 -0.01  4.67  0.09 
 COL -0.11 -0.46  0.02 -0.08  4.84  0.08 
 DAL -0.04  0.12  0.08  0.02  5.08 -0.02 
 PHI  0.11  0.32 -0.13 -0.02  4.65 -0.05 
 CGY -0.18 -0.44  0.01 -0.03  4.48 -0.08 
 STL  0.19  0.41 -0.17  0.17  4.76 -0.21 
 OTT -0.30 -0.46 -0.02 -0.03  4.85 -0.25 
 CAR  0.05  0.14 -0.09  0.20  4.90 -0.26 
 CBJ -0.14  0.21 -0.05  0.03  4.78 -0.31 
 MIN -0.25 -0.63 -0.18  0.00  4.72 -0.34 
 FLO -0.31 -0.61 -0.05  0.06  4.63 -0.35 
 TOR -0.31 -0.43 -0.12  0.04  4.72 -0.44 
 TB  -0.47 -0.78  0.01  0.07  5.07 -0.45 
 ATL -0.31 -0.25 -0.13  0.00  4.81 -0.46 
 NYI -0.42 -0.47 -0.07  0.08  5.02 -0.56 
 EDM -0.55 -0.37 -0.09  0.13  5.04 -0.82 
To make NHL predictions, start with the FINPR (Final Power Ranking) goal difference, add 0.25 goals for home ice, adjust for today's scheduling (b2b = -0.20, b2b34 = -0.30, rest = +0.10, etc.), motivation (+/- up to 0.25) and goalies (dominant starter GA = -0.05, backup GA = +0.10, bad backup GA = +0.20, etc.) and finally convert the PR to a moneyline using 50c = 0.5 PR up to 1.00 PR, and 50c = 0.25 PR after that. If positive, add to +100, and change the sign to reflect a favorite. Add to -100 if negative, reverse the sign and you have the underdog.

For example: Team A (Final Power Ranking of 0.50) at home (+0.25) is playing Team B (-0.25 Final Power Ranking). Team A is heavily rested (+0.10). Team B is in a b2b situation (-0.20) and playing their backup goalie (-0.10). You feel however, Team B is motivated (+0.15). The final PR is 1.25. Convert this to a ML using 50c per 0.50 for the first 1.00 equals 100c and another 50c for the remaining 0.25 PR over that (50c per 0.25). Add this to a base moneyline of +100 gives us +250. Since Team A is the favorite, simply change to a minus for a final moneyline of -250.

That's it! Just follow similar steps whenever you need a strong NHL prediction for your sports betting. If you have any questions, ask below. Also, try clicking on +Comments to see more betting tips on working with our NHL Power Rankings.

NHL Power Rankings by Month

Only registered users can write comments!
+/- Comments
Rossman57  - Use NHL Power Rankings for Totals?   |2009-05-06 13:18:58
Can I use your NHL Power Rankings for handicapping Totals / Over-Unders as well?
parrishh  - Yes you can!   |2009-05-06 15:17:00
Yes you can! It's a little convoluted but here goes...

1) Get a rough idea of the league median FINTO by going through the data in the table and choosing the middle value. Call this FINTOLG. This will change during different stages of the season, especially the playoffs.

2) For both teams in the game, calculate each's FINTO relative difference from FINTOLG. (I.E. FINTO - FINTOLG) Call these FINTOA and FINTOB.

3) Get your total by adding FINTOLG + FINTOA + FINTOB + 0.4

Note: The 0.4 is to account for empty-net, extra-attacker, and overtime goals.

There you go! You have a total. Keep in mind that over-unders are inherently less accurate than sides, so make sure you have a larger edge and hopefully additional fundamental factors on your side as well before placing the bet. Good Luck!

3.26 Copyright (C) 2008 Compojoom.com / Copyright (C) 2007 Alain Georgette / Copyright (C) 2006 Frantisek Hliva. All rights reserved."

 

Gratuitious Hot Hun Pic

138150113_79f6304642.jpg

Who's in Net?

Projecting starting goalies is an integral part of NHL handicapping. Goaliepost is the best site I've found at this task, and will save you more than a few betting mistakes.

Who's Hurting?

Equally as important to the netminders are each team's current injuries, scratches and suspensions. A great site for late information is Rotoworld. Nicely done. You can also read all the Newspapers yourself, but it won't be nearly as quick and easy.

Sign-Up Later!

NHL Pick Subscription Plan

Who's Online

We have 3 guests online

Investment Opportunity

If you prefer a passive approach to handicapping success, my sports investment group might interest you. Proper funding and high risk tolerance are a necessity. Strong returns and market diversification are the rewards. Referrals welcome.Contact me...

Betting Group Friendly

If you need an expert hockey handicapper for your Las Vegas style betting group, I'm your man. I will provide complete early selection, analysis and money management for a percentage of the positive returns. It's a win-win scenario!Contact me...

Line Consultant for Hire

If you operate a sportsbook or line service and are looking for that extra edge, my expertise is available as a consultant. I will provide superior analysis allowing you to shade lines and maximize profit margin. Don't get burnt!Contact me...

Legal Disclaimer

Information posted on this site is provided for entertainment purposes only and should not be used to violate any federal, state, or provincial laws. Past records do not guarantee future results. There are no warranties implied to the accuracy of the information provided herein.
RocketTheme Joomla Templates